August 20, 2017

Small Caps (IWM) Hit Short-term Overbought Extreme – Potential Trade Ahead

New Credit Spread Options Strategy – Beta

The window dressing that typically occurs during quarters end is in full effect.

The Russell 2000 (IWM) has charged higher over the past four trading days and yet the 86/88 IWM put vertical that I sold is still well-positioned. At $82.90, IWM is still roughly 3.6 percent away from the short strike.

I like this scenario. IWM has moved into an extreme overbought state and as a result I will most likely place a trade in the High-Probability, Mean-Reversion strategy tomorrow. IWM or another high-beta ETF will be the underlying of choice, if indeed a trade occurs. This should bring the IWM credit spread back to break-even with the potential of making some nice gains if a trade occurs and IWM moves lower into a neutral state.

Again, I like this scenario because now both of the options strategies are working in unison. I am able to collect premium in the Credit Spread strategy while patiently allowing time decay to works its magic. And, while I allow the time decay to eat away at my credit spread I am able to play short-term extremes in the ETFs I follow in the High-Probability, Mean-Reversion strategy. Intermediate and short-term options strategies at work.

Just like diversifying a portfolio of stocks, you should do the same when investing with options – diversify your options strategies.

Here it is: the first trade in my new Credit Spread Options Strategy, officially named Crowder’s Credit Spreads. I will continue to go over the trade in full detail in the Free Weekly Options Report.

Market Mumbo Jumbo

Summary

Same message: Not much has changed over the past few weeks – range-bound trading persists. I appears we could see the markets move sideways for a few more months. Are the summer doldrums already upon us? How long can SPY stay in this range of roughly $126 to $137? The question is, while I continue trading extremes in the HPMR strategy , how can I take advantage of the range bound movement at the same time. You guessed it – a credit spread! I will discuss this further in Weekly Options Report.

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Options Strategy Indicator – Overbought / Oversold Extremes

High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Options Indicator