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	<title>Crowder Options</title>
	<link>http://www.crowderoptions.com</link>
	<description>Patience, Position-Sizing and Proven Long-Term Performance</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2012 01:40:06 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Some Interesting Probabilities Surrounding Payrolls</title>
		<description><![CDATA[Will the beginning of the &#8220;anticipated&#8221; correction come tomorrow?
The Nonfarm Payroll report is often a market mover and I expect to see much of the same tomorrow.
The market is wound tight and typically when that occurs we are witness to a large directional move.
I expect, regardless of how positive (or negative) the report is tomorrow, [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.crowderoptions.com/some-interesting-probabilities-surrounding-payrolls/</link>
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		<title>How Long Can We Teeter on the Edge</title>
		<description><![CDATA[January&#8217;s rally was admirable.
It&#8217;s perseverance frustrated bears.
The infrequent single day declines maxed out at -0.6%.

And the last nine days of the month were more than mind-numbing for most traders as the market traded in a very tight range.
There&#8217;s no doubt the bears are ready. Almost every technical and sentiment measure I follow has pushed into a [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.crowderoptions.com/how-long-can-we-teeter-on-the-edge/</link>
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		<title>The Ongoing Frustrations of the Options Industry</title>
		<description><![CDATA[*Just a short rant tonight. Hopefully, if time permits, I will be back later with some additional reading.
Hacks, hacks and more hacks?
I hate to say this about some of my fellow options traders, but I can&#8217;t tell you how much I abhor those in the industry (you know who you are) that absolutely ruin the [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.crowderoptions.com/the-ongoing-frustrations-of-the-options-industry/</link>
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		<title>Bold Enough to Call A Top?</title>
		<description><![CDATA[Well, I already made that mistake. 1.9% lower. Check out my post from last Tuesday.
But, 1.9% lower really isn&#8217;t that far. Especially if you consider all of the bearish indicators that currently reside on  a sentiment and technical basis.
I use very few indicators. I am a strong believer in the linear regression of time and [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.crowderoptions.com/bold-enough-to-call-a-top/</link>
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		<title>All it Takes is One Bad Trade</title>
		<description><![CDATA[I came across a great article on the one bad trade syndrome. Several months ago, Slopers (Tim Knight’s Band of Followers), were privy to a real-life blow-up in which a trader essentially risked all of his trading capital on essentially one trade(disregarded the importance of position-sizing). I want to make sure that I never make [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.crowderoptions.com/all-it-takes-is-one-bad-trade/</link>
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		<title>The Rally That Never Stops</title>
		<description><![CDATA[What is there to say that I haven&#8217;t said already?
If you were not privy to the stats that I  provided last week by the wonderful sentiment analyst Jason Goepfert of Sentimentrader.com here you go:
Starting around the 2nd week in January, stocks have had a consistent tendency to weaken.  Or at least not show much strength.  Especially [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.crowderoptions.com/the-rally-that-never-stops/</link>
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		<title>On the Eve of Options Expiration&#8230;..</title>
		<description><![CDATA[I am always amazed how large the opportunity to “make it big” factors into the great magnetism of the market. The belief that anyone, from any background can be successful and make tons of money has quite the allure. But, in all of this euphoria people neglect to think about all of those that failed [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.crowderoptions.com/on-the-eve-of-options-expiration/</link>
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		<title>Up, Up and Away? Not If History Has a Say.</title>
		<description><![CDATA[The market rallied hard making it the 9 out of 11 tradings days with positive gains. SPY has made since 4.2% during that time, but over the past month SPY has made a staggering 8.7%. And as expected, now we are seeing sentiment change.
But, I am not completely sold on the rally yet.
Why? Well, other [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.crowderoptions.com/up-up-and-away-not-if-history-has-a-say/</link>
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		<title>Was Tuesday the Top?</title>
		<description><![CDATA[Numerous downgrades, more European woes, news of inevitable Greek default, financial sector struggles among other bearish news led to a lower, oops, higher open today? Yes, higher.
It has indeed been rather frustrating as a short-term bear since the gap open on 1/3. But, oftentimes when you are a contrarian and you make your livelihood on [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.crowderoptions.com/was-tuesday-the-top/</link>
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		<title>Ignore the Noise. Trade Strategies Based off Probabilities</title>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;What do you think about the latest economic report, data coming out of Europe, etc?&#8221; 
That&#8217;s a question I often receive. My typical response, I don&#8217;t care. Okay, that may be a bit harsh, but it is true. For the most part I really don&#8217;t care about the daily news that flows in and out of [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.crowderoptions.com/ignore-the-noise-trade-strategies-based-off-probabilities/</link>
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