August 20, 2017

Post Election Blues or Just Good Timing for the Bears

I have quite a few items to cover today and no, none of them are political. I will save that for the pundits. First, I would like to point out that the Nasdaq 100 (QQQQ) is touching an important fibonacci level (23.6%) while pushing into a short-term overbought state. This often spells trouble for the bulls over and considering where we have come from over the past 8 trading days I would expect to see a short-term decline over the next few days, at least that is what Mr. Probability is telling me. This is also the case for several of the sector ETFs I follow (look at readings below). Moreover, the Ultra Short ETF for the S&P 500 (SDS) has pushed into an oversold state. Again, probability states that any gains will not be … [Read more...]

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