June 29, 2017

Archives for November 2013

Potential Gold Trade?

Gold, gold, gold....we could see a signal tomorrow...stay tuned subs. … [Read more...]

High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Indicator

I'm not going to say much tonight. Everyone seems to be off the floor for the holiday week. Volume is extremely low. Typically we see a positive bias during the week of Thanksgiving. I said short and sweet, right? Subscribers: We added several positions last week which should do quite well if we see a short-term reprieve going forward. … [Read more...]

Trades, Trades, Options Trades

I've been waiting for implied volatility to kick up a little which is why I have not placed a trade over the past few days. Tomorrow id definitely the day. Subscriber stay tuned! If you are a believer in a statistical approach towards investing please do not hesitate to try my options strategies. I use simple mean-reversion coupled with probabilities for each and every trade. Give it a try, it’s free for 30 days. If you haven’t had a chance,  please join my Free Weekly Newsletter, Twitter feed and/or Facebook page. Kindest, Andy … [Read more...]

Preparing for Trading (a few options)

I'm keeping it short tonight. I have lots of trades to go through tonight. Subscribers, prepare to receive a few trade alerts throughout the day tomorrow. If you are a believer in a statistical approach towards investing please do not hesitate to try my options strategies. I use simple mean-reversion coupled with probabilities for each and every trade. Give it a try, it’s free for 30 days. If you haven’t had a chance,  please join my Free Weekly Newsletter, Twitter feed and/or Facebook page. Kindest, Andy … [Read more...]

Video: Potential SPY Trade

I wanted to do a quick video on a potential trade set-up. If anything this should give you a good (and very basic) idea how I approach credit spreads. If you are a believer in a statistical approach towards investing please do not hesitate to try my options strategies. I use simple mean-reversion coupled with probabilities for each and every trade. Give it a try, it’s free for 30 days. If you haven’t had a chance,  please join my Free Weekly Newsletter, Twitter feed and/or Facebook page. Kindest, Andy … [Read more...]

Fooled Again (At Least for Now)

Wow, what a difference a few days make. Should we call this latest rally the Yellen rally? Just two days ago everyone was fearful of a decline, yet now all is forgotten. Now we can all get back to sitting back and comfortably watching the market the five year + bull market continue, right? Wrong. We can't ignore all of the bearish indicators that have entered the market as of late. And these aren't your typical short-term indicators. we are seeing historical extremes that have led to intermediate-term declines. I'm not calling for a crash. I'm just being realistic. We haven't seen a notable, healthy correction in a long, long time. And the lack of a pullback is showing up in the background. We have a lack of hedging activity … [Read more...]

The Move is Inevitable

Keeping it short tonight. Nothing has changed from my post yesterday. The market remains in dangerous territory as it hovers near all-time highs. You just can't ignore all of the historical precedents that are entering into the market right now. On the other hand, commodities are very oversold right now on a short-term basis. Also, as you can see in the table below, Brazil, India and the Emerging Market ETFs are also very oversold on a short-term basis. Now might be a good time to start delving into a few bull put spreads If you are a believer in a statistical approach towards investing please do not hesitate to try my options strategies. I use simple mean-reversion coupled with probabilities for each and every trade. Give it … [Read more...]

My Short-Term Market View Hasn’t Changed

My view hasn't changed since the middle of October. ...this market is set-up for a nice decline. And so far, while my view hasn't been realized, the market hasn't rallied further. In fact, the tight trading range at all-time highs has proven to be an excellent area to sell credit spreads. Moreover, I think the major benchmarks could be trading at levels that offer a  wonderful opportunity to take a few short-term aggressive plays like buy a few puts. I typically, don't buy options, but at these levels it's hard to pass up...and we've actually had very good fortune buying puts over the past month. So, if you are a subscriber, stay tuned because there is a very good chance that I will be adding to our December positions … [Read more...]