Short-Term, High-Probability, Mean-Reversion

Short-Term, High-Probability Mean-Reversion Options Indicator

High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Indicator

My Favorite Options Strategies

News equals noise. When are people going to get it? The news means absolutely nothing to me as an options trader. The entire industry has been commoditized. And when I say this I mean that one offering (financial media outlet) is nearly indistinguishable from another. Why? Technological innovation. News is widely accessible and therefore basically the same everywhere. The only difference is how they market themselves and as a trader I just don’t care about their marketing techniques. Nor do I care about the news that they spew out on a daily basis. As an options trader it doesn’t matter to me. Fear is what sells. It’s all over the news, every day, every hour. And while I do care about the macro-picture for my own self-interests, it too doesn’t effect how I trade my options strategies. But, what I do like about fear is that it creates opportunities. Opportunities to sell options at higher prices. Because, with increased fear comes increased implied volatility and with increased volatility comes increased options premium. And that is what I want to see as a seller of options. I also like this type of market because it creates incredible swings and therefore, short-term overbought and oversold markets. But again, the fact that fears sell is humorous to me. The masses just don’t seem to get it. While they complain about the fear mongering they feed of it. They tell you to buy or sell certain sectors or certain stocks. A fool’s game in my opinion. What I never hear is that you can use a particular options strategy to take advantage of the fear that is currently in the market. You will never hear the market is in a short-term overbought state so now might be a great time to buy some puts in …. You will never hear that you can create a high-probability trade with a 80 to 90 percent chance of success that has a 10-15 percent return on the trade over the next 30-50 days. It just doesn’t happen. Why? It is not the fact that we are not smart enough to figure it out. I know my subscribers are capable of understanding high-probability trades and how they work and more importantly how to manage the risk of each and every trade they initiate. But, this will never stop me from trying to convey my so-called BORING message that I can create options strategies with the type of advantages I speak of. I am not doing anything magical. No secrets here. While my High-Probability, Mean-Reversion strategy has a few proprietary indicators it is based on some very simple concepts. And as for the Theta-Driver strategy, this is a strategy used by floor traders and professional options traders on a daily basis. So, the question is, why can’t the financial media teach the masses about such incredible strategies? Who knows and quite honestly who cares. In my opinion it is there loss and our gain. I don’t want these strategies to become mainstream, because when they do, they too will be commoditized and that is the last thing we want. If you haven’t already, I hope you will join me in my effort to teach you how to beat the market over the long-term. No promises here. Just sound strategies that make sense. And best of all strategies where the performance speaks for itself. Check out the results and how the High-Probability, Mean Reversion strategy compares to the major market benchmark S&P 500. As for the Theta Driver Options Strategy, I have created a sample portfolio that trades the exact trades (in real-time) that I initiate to my subscribers. The strategy officially began last expiration cycle and the trade expired last month for a nice gain. I initiated another trade recently which is now in profitable territory. I will divulge more about the strategy as we move closer to October expiration. If you haven’t already, don’t forget to sign-up for my : High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Options Strategy : Free 30-day trial Theta Driver Options Strategy (limited room available): Free 30-day trial Also, for those of you who live on Facebook. You can access my info there as well. Just click on LIKE.

I am eyeing several ETFs for next week. My intention (if the market cooperates) is to place a trade in the High-Probability, Mean-Reversion strategy as well as another trade in the Theta Driver Strategy.

Weekly Options Report

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Kindest,

Andy

Responsible Options Strategies

I had the pleasure to speak with a gentleman from a prominent newsletter service this past week. It was interesting to see just how he traded and how his newsletter service and others that he was affiliated with used options.

As I suspected – irresponsibly. And I told him so.

His response – I was an idealist.

An idealist? Why? Because I do not allow marketing efforts control my options strategies? Because I do not gamble with options by attempting to guess which way an earnings call will go? Because I do not buy out-of-the-money options in hopes that an option will move towards my chosen strike price? I could go on and on.

I was amazed how little he knew about how to effectively trade options. He actually asked me about how I used statistics and gain an advantage in my trading. This man has been in the industry as an editor for several major newsletter publications for nearly 15 years. 15 YEARS!

And yet, he doesn’t know how to create a trade with a probability of success of your choice – be it 70%, 80% or 90% chance of success.

He stated that using credit spreads does not work for the retail public. It doesn’t sell. It’s too complicated.

I could not believe what I was hearing. This pompous man, who had no clue about the true advantages of credit spreads (like in our Theta Driver Options Strategy) basically felt as though the public was too stupid to place a credit spread.

He told me that his marketing department told him not to use credit spreads in their options services as the quick, gambling mentality was a bigger seller.

That might be so – at least for now.

But that is my goal with this service. My goal over the past six years. I do not market, I do not tout outlandish gains. I only try to bring to you the best strategies that I know. The strategies that floor traders use. The strategies that create real statistical advantages. And then I try to incorporate risk-management techniques as well. He actually scoffed at that as well.

If you want an options strategy with a gambling mentality then my service is not for you. I am not a gambler and therefore I do not offer daily trades with no statistical advantages.

Patience is the key ingredient to the success of my strategies and forcing a trade is, in most cases, detrimental to any strategy. My strategies requires patience coupled with a disciplined approach. Waiting for the appropriate scenario to recommend trades with a high probability of success is what makes my options strategies successful.

I am a realist. I realize there is no holy grail in trading. However, one thing I do know for certain is that I have found several unique, and concrete strategies that make the world of sense to me and I trade them to make serious money over the long-term. Furthermore, I realize that the less I trade, the better my strategies will perform over the long run: And the long run is what matters. This is what makes my strategies unique and so far, successful.

If you haven’t already, don’t forget to sign-up for my Free 30-day trial.

Also, for those of you who live on Facebook. You can access my daily info on the social network as well. Just click on LIKE.

Options Strategies Continue to Roll

I am back after another short hiatus. We have had a few great trades over the past few weeks, one in the High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Options Strategy (up 7.4% in September) and one in the Theta Driver Options Strategy (expires tomorrow with over a 12% gain). I will be sending out the Weekly Report that details each trade and the performance of each strategy. I was unable to get out the FREE Weekly Report last week due to unforeseen circumstances, but will have the my Expiration Report out Sunday. Stay tuned!

I will be back with my regular blog posts next week. Thanks for being patient. Hey, at least we have some really great trades to talk about. Both strategies continue to move onward and upward and that is the most important of my service. Actionable and profitable trades. So far, so good.

Market Mumbo Jumbo

•  Daily options report
• Lower ETF Risk
• Bulls and Bears Drive Gold

If you haven’t already, don’t forget to sign-up for my Free 30-day trial.

Also, for those of you who live on Facebook. You can access my daily info on the social network as well. Just click on LIKE.

Short-Term, High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Options Indicator

Keepin’ it short. Big weekly report! Two more successful trades to talk about. HPMR strategy up 7.4% in September. Theta Driver trade  and much more…. Stay tuned!

If you haven’t already, don’t forget to sign-up for my Free 30-day trial.

Also, for those of you who live on Facebook. You can access my daily info on the social network as well. Just click on LIKE.