Official Launch - June 16th

May 29, 2008

I am still working on the revision of the site, but as all of you know (paid subscribers that is) that I am still sending out real-time trade alerts and such. However, I have set a date for the official launch which will be June 16th. I can’t wait to bring you the new site and another strategy to join our two successful strategies.

I have had several trades in the last few weeks in the ETF Extremes strategy that have been very successful and prove that patience pays. Check performance page for results.

The strategy is up over 150% since its inception roughly two years ago and after a flat 2007 (down roughly 12%) the strategy is up 38.2% on a cumulative basis in 2008. The important statistic is the long-term cumulative return of 151.4% since the first trade back on 2/16/06.

Again, I apologize to those of who were daily readers, but please remember that I focus on my paid subscribers and providing them the best strategies possible. The blog is a FREE service to all and is not a mandatory part of the service. I have provided daily commentary almost every day for several years now and have had quite a few people ask me why I do not charge for the insights, well, with the new site I will be contemplating doing just that. Once the new site is up (hopefully in the next few weeks) I will have more info on this topic.

If you have any comments or questions please do not hesitate to email me.

Kindest regards,

Andy

ETF Extremes and the Update on Revision

May 21, 2008

I am still working on the revision of the site, but as all of you know (paid subscribers that is) that I am still sending out real-time trade alerts and such.

I have had several trades in the last few weeks in the ETF Extremes strategy that have been very successful and prove that patience pays. Check performance page for results.

The strategy is up over 150% since its inception roughly two years ago and after a flat 2007  (down roughly 12%) the strategy is up 38.2% on a cumulative basis in 2008.  The important statistic is the long-term cumulative return of 151.4% since the first trade back on 2/16/06. 

Again, I apologize to those of who who were daily readers, but please remember that I focus on my paid subscribers and providing them the best strategies possible.  The blog is a FREE service to all and is not a mandatory part of the service. I have provided daily commentary almost every day for several years now and have had quite a few people ask me why I do not charge for the insights, well, with the new site I will be contemplating doing just that. Once the new site is up (hopefully in the next few weeks) I will have more info on this topic.

If you have any comments or questions please do not hesitate to email me.

Kindest regards,

Andy

ETF Extremes Reaches 129.5% - Give The Strategy A Try - Join Today

May 15, 2008

Our ETF Extremes strategy once again proved that patience pays. The strategy has only been exposed to the market for approximately 64 out of the 565 trading days or 11.3% since its inception back in early 2006. Since then the cumulative gains have reached 129.5%. The S&P 500 (SPY), the major market benchmark has made a paltry 16.3%.

These are amazing statistics considering most people think that they constantly need to trade or be exposed to the market on a daily basis to be successful. We can’t tell you how many times impatient subscribers have written in to complain about the lack of trading in this strategy. To their credit, we have had extended spells where the strategy did not have any trades and many of our subscribers left during this period. This is why we only charge $39.95 per month, while most other services, who can’t claim such gains, charge far greater on a monthly basis. The ETF Extremes has proven its success.

We have always stated that patience is the key to this strategy, however, in options trading most individuals, sadly enough, are looking for the quick profit. We were not too enthused by the lack of trading ourselves during the down periods, but our diligence and determination to stick with our proprietary indicators proved to be the right and responsible choice.

The strategy is up 129.5% since its inception in early 2006 on 18 trades. The win ratio so far is an astounding 83% (15 for 18). This strategy has proved that trading often does not always lead to greater gains.

According to the site Pro-Option-Profits.com (a wonderful site that monitors, analyses, and ranks over 90 different option advisory services and their strategies) our ETF Extremes strategy ranks as one of the top and most consistent options strategies in several different categories. We are certainly very proud of our accomplishments in this particular strategy.

A signal was issued in our ETF Extremes strategy on Wednesday. Several of our proprietary indicators were in “extreme” territory, so as a result we sent out the following trade alert to our participating subscribers: Buy to Open SPY Jul08 51 puts (QQQSY) for $2.43.

Much like our last trade in the ETF Extremes, we were anticipating a sharp move lower shortly after the alert was sent. The market traded sideways to lower for remainder of the trading day so obviously we decided to hold onto our position. The market popped back up today (Thursday) so we decided to lock in a profit and close the position for $2.64 or an 8.6% profit on the trade.

Again, by staying diligent, minimizing our losses (check our performance page) and sticking with our guidelines we have had a 83% win ratio (15 out of 18 winning trades) since its inception back in early 2006 with a cumulative total return of 129.5%.

Of course, we do not expect to have all winning trades going forward, that would be unrealistic, but we do know that with our money management and capital preservation techniques this strategy will be extremely profitable over the long-term. Our stop loss is usually set at $.30 -$.35 per trade so it would take quite a few losing trades to move this strategy into negative territory.

Andrew Crowder

Chief Options Strategist

Crowder Investment Research

Site Update

May 12, 2008

I just wanted to keep everyone updated about the upcoming site revision. There is probably a week to two weeks left before it goes live so there will not be any posts until the launch. However, this will not stop current subscribers from recieving the real-time trade alerts for our two strategies which, by hte way have performed exceptionally well this year and since inception (ETF Extremes). Thank you for your patience! Andy

Contact

May 6, 2008

Please email me at andy@crowderinvestments.com if you have any questions about the strategies or anything options related. I will do my best to answer all of your questions in a timely fashion.

Kindest regards,

Andrew Crowder

Terms & Conditions

May 6, 2008

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Legal Disclaimer

May 6, 2008

Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. All investors who deal with options should read and understand the publication “Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.” A copy of this publication can be obtained by clicking on this link.

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May 6, 2008

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Site Revision

May 5, 2008

I am working on revising the website so their will not be a post tonight and potentially for the rest of the week. I apologize for the inconvenience, but I think subscribers to the site will appreciate the upcoming changes.

Another Gap Fade Success - Up 7.8% Since Inception Two Months Ago

May 2, 2008

The Gap Fade Strategy had another successful signal today. The QQQQ trade reaped a respectable 6.4% for the day. The strategy is now up 7.8% since its inception just a few months ago. I would have liked to take more off the table today, but this strategy shoots for singles and doubles with the occasional home run. We still have room in the strategy if you wish to join.

Three straight weeks of gains and now directly under strong overhead resistance at the 1425 level on the S&P.  Furthermore, the recent push higher has landed much of the back market in a short-term overbought state.  I think we could see a short-term decline going forward. The prior statement could foreshadow my intentions for early next week in the ETF Extremes strategy. If there is a signal it could be a nice one given the extreme overbought levels of the current market. The ETF Extremes strategy also has room left.

I will be back later this weekend with a more thorough post on the current technical and sentiment extremes that have entered the market. Stay tuned!

May 2, 2008 - Crowder’s Overbought/Oversold Readings

Major Benchmarks

  • Dow (DIA) - 84.4 (very overbought)
  • S&P (SPY) - 77.2 (overbought)
  • Russell 2000 (IWM) - 64.8 (neutral)
  • Nasdaq 100 (QQQQ) - 80.4 (very overbought)
  • Emerging Markets (EEM) - 71.7 (overbought)

Sectors

  • Biotech (IBB) - 64.9 (neutral)
  • Consumer Discretionary (XLY) - 72.1 (overbought)
  • Health Care (XLV) - 65.7 (neutral)
  • Financial (XLF) - 77.4 (overbought)
  • Energy (XLE) - 48.3 (neutral)
  • Industrial (XLI) - 72.2 (overbought)
  • Materials (XLB) - 42.5 (neutral)
  • Real Estate (IYR) - 61.0 (neutral)
  • Retail (RTH) - 60.7 (neutral)
  • Utilities (XLU) - 75.7 (overbought)

International

  • Brazil (EWZ) - 74.8 (overbought)
  • China (FXI) - 82.8 (very overbought)

Others of Interest

  • Clean Energy (PBW) - 44.0 (neutral)
  • Water (PHO) - 77.2 (overbought)
  • Agriculture (DBA) - 38.4 (neutral)
  • Commodity Index (DBC) - 47.3 (neutral)
  • Oil Services (OIH) - 48.3 (neutral)

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